The 1990s George H.W. Bush and the fall of the Soviet Union • Bush elected (1988) on Reagan’s record • Communism crumbles in Europe, 198991 • Consumer goods, personal freedom, rock ‘n’ roll • Berlin Wall falls, Dec. 1989 • Soviet Union disintegrates, 1990-91 • Economic decline, Afghanistan war • Mikhail Gorbachev: reform, not repression • Russia becomes a fragile democracy The Gulf War • Iraq (Saddam Hussein) invades Kuwait, 1990 • Bush organizes worldwide opposition • Decisive military victory • Massive air strikes, then 3-day ground war • Bush approval ratings near 90% • Limited objective: liberate Kuwait (not occupy Iraq) • “New World Order”: U.S. as sole superpower Bill Clinton • Few Democrats willing to challenge Bush in 1992 • Clinton: strong communicator • Avoids social issues • Middle class prosperity • Bush: hurt by recession and tax increase • Clinton wins (1992) and governs as a moderate • Scales back Reagan’s tax cuts for wealthy • Cuts spending Clinton attempts universal health coverage • Efficiency • Health costs consume 15% of U.S. wealth versus around 10% in other countries • Reduce drug costs, redundant jobs, etc. • Strong support for reform • Political failure • Appoints wife Hillary Clinton to manage proposal • Lobbying from insurance companies • Lack of consultation Clinton as moderate • Works with Republicans • Welfare reform • 15 million to 3 million recipients • Maximum 5 years of benefits • Must seek job • Greater state control • North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) • Free trade deals: U.S. as hub of global economy • But local economic difficulty Tech boom, climate change, and “the end of history” • Tech: medical, electronics • Internet • Most benefit to top earners, best-educated • Climate change becomes major national issue • Better computerized climate modeling wide scientific consensus • Oil company opposition • Alarmists hurt credibility • Kyoto Conference: U.S. and poorer countries cannot agree to limit emissions Race / “End of history” • L.A. riots (1992) & O.J. Simpson • Gangsta rap • Growth of black middle class • Latinos become largest minority group in 1990s • Reagan: amnesty for 3 million illegal immigrants • But growing opposition to immigration • “End of history” • Communism defeated • Triumphant American model: democratic government, personal freedom, free markets Sept. 11 2001 and after Bush vs. Gore • Clinton leaves office with high popularity • Al Gore (Clinton vice president) vs. • George W. Bush (Texas governor) • Centrist vs. centrist • Too close to call in Florida • Punch-card ballots • Florida officials end recount • Supreme Court decides to end recount • 5 in favor, 4 opposed Sept. 11, 2001 • Bush/FBI/CIA miss early hints of possible attack • 19 hijackers • 4 airliners • 2 hit World Trade Center towers • 1 hits Pentagon • 1 crashes in rural Pennsylvania after passenger resistance • Bush attacks Taliban regime in Afghanistan • Pursuit of Osama bin Laden Iraq War and after • Bush administration targets Iraq, 2003 • Alleged support for terrorism …and “weapons of mass destruction” • Bush declares victory after capture of Hussein …but uncovers no evidence of anti-U.S. plans or terror weapons • Most U.S. deaths after declaration of victory • Bush barely defeats John Kerry, 2004 • Bush supporters question Kerry’s Vietnam record • By 2008, Bush very unpopular • Barack Obama as “change candidate” & symbol of racial progress